I
should make clear that I rooted for the recall of Scott Walker and victory for
the progressive forces in the Wisconsin recall elections this past
Tuesday. The right wing Tea party
radical Republicans were victorious in their efforts to keep their Governor and
Lt Governor and they won convincingly.
There are lessons to be learned from this effort by both sides. I am
mostly concerned that the progressive liberal forces in the country learn the
right lessons. What are some of those?
First,
it’s hard to defeat an incumbent. Voters
need to feel either great anger or great despair when voting a party out. And,
today it appears they need to dislike the candidates they are being asked to
vote against.
Second,
we need to realize that most voters just don’t understand the details of the
political system. They probably can’t
see why there wasn’t a simple yes/no vote on Walker since he was the person
they petitioned to recall. And I would
contend that in such a yes/no referendum recall would be favored to win. The Wisconsin system in effect allows you to
petition for a new election and that is what occurred.
Third,
the weakest candidate to defeat an incumbent is the person that incumbent beat
previously. You are asking the voters to
concede that, in this case only 16 months ago, they made two mistakes. They voted for the wrong person and they
voted against the right person. To
defeat an incumbent it has to be about him and the best way to do that is to
run a blank slate candidate so the only issue before the voters is the
continuation in office of the incumbent.
Fourth,
Mayors of the largest city in the state are the poorest candidates for
Governor. Ed Rendell notwithstanding the
Mayors of New York City, Atlanta, Los Angeles, Columbus and Chicago are not the
Governors of their states and almost never have been since the nineteenth
century. The large cities are seen as
different by the rural residents and the place they left by the suburban
voters.
Fifth,
money is now all there is in politics.
This is not the seventies when door to door campaigning turned a nation
against the Vietnam War (with the help of TV coverage of that gruesome war). Now campaigns are fought out on the TV screens
with Ads. And, today's generation wants
quick and easy to remember Advertising not detailed brochures. Today’s electorate feels about candidates and
issues they don’t study about them.
Sixth,
we are now in a time when the majority of the population is concerned about
itself. They want to know what and who
is going to do for them. Talk about the
future, about everyone having access to the American dream does not resonate
with a population that has begun to believe that that dream may be a nightmare.
No one cares about the Wars we fight unless they are among the small percentage
of people who have relatives who are part of the now professional armed
forces. No one cares about the
unemployed unless they have a relative who is among that 8 %. I would argue
that the reason that reproductive rights and gay rights are still meeting
with majority support is because a
majority of Americans know or are related to someone who is a woman who might
need birth control and/or an abortion and a majority of Americans know or are
related to someone who is openly Gay.
Seventh,
the radical right Tea Party Republicans have succeeded in making government
appear to be the problem instead of the problem solver and to demonize the public
service. They have convinced Americans
that we are in dire economic straits because teachers and firefighters and
policemen and other public employees fought for decent wages and health
benefits and retirement benefits. They will not admit that our economic
problems are due to the greed and selfishness of the corporate CEO’s, and those
who use money to make money-- the very Bain capitalists whose poster boy now
stands as their candidate for the highest office in the land.
Eight,
the radical right wing attempts to undue two hundred years of franchise
expansion by adopting legislation that can only be characterized as voter
suppressive is working. It is convincing
the 50% of Americans who are not registered that they shouldn’t even bother.
And quite frankly this isn’t 1965 and the only people who care about these
voter suppression tactics are those whose vote will be suppressed.
Ninth,
the radical right wing Supreme Court Citizens
United ruling has turned our political system into a corporate oligarchy -
a potentially neo-fascist state in which the richest of the rich will decide
the result of elections by spending unmatchable sums in support of their
candidates and at the same time will manipulate the economy to create a large
class of poorly educated (hence the war on public education) poorly paid (hence
the war on unions) workers who won’t even care about voting since the rich will
own the candidates and the determine the results.
One
volunteer who spent months working on the Wisconsin recall said quite
emotionally on TV last night that democracy dies in America on Tuesday and it
died in Wisconsin. He may have been
right. As the next decades unfold we will see no strong labor unions fighting
for the wage and hour and health care laws that they spent the twentieth
century fighting for. We will see no
large middle class as a buffer between the haves and have nots. We will hear no politicians - no FDRs or
Eisenhowers or even Clintons suggesting that the richest should pay more in to
the system and that the system should help the middle and the poor.
America
has always been a violent country.
600,000 men had to die in order to free a race from slavery in this
country. When the inevitable battle
between the 99% and 1% (maybe it will be 90/10 by then) comes how many will
have to die in order to restore this country to the path it was so successfully
on in the twentieth century - an America with liberty and justice for All and
one in which All shared in an American dream of peace, freedom and the pursuit
of happiness.
6
June 2012
Thanks Cliff. You are always right on point.
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